Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-10 0.187617 0.217337 0.250228 0.289329 0.334555 0.385233 0.446356
2025-08-17 0.134540 0.172515 0.218940 0.279885 0.357840 0.454301 0.582894
2025-08-24 0.111941 0.153997 0.209080 0.286537 0.392770 0.533574 0.734793
2025-08-31 0.094907 0.138271 0.198350 0.287708 0.417442 0.599313 0.874402
2025-09-07 0.083116 0.127256 0.191455 0.291696 0.444582 0.669574 1.027050
2025-09-14 0.071456 0.114368 0.179552 0.285850 0.455283 0.715690 1.148060
2025-09-21 0.062877 0.104798 0.171052 0.283470 0.470021 0.768338 1.283994
2025-09-28 0.056830 0.098340 0.166400 0.286210 0.492584 0.834956 1.449263
2025-10-05 0.053791 0.096412 0.168738 0.300521 0.535596 0.939248 1.689290
2025-10-12 0.050336 0.093258 0.168492 0.310104 0.571174 1.034255 1.923591
2025-10-19 0.046968 0.089794 0.167205 0.317473 0.603302 1.126158 2.162237
2025-10-26 0.043352 0.085399 0.163659 0.320107 0.626692 1.204223 2.383337
2025-11-02 0.039247 0.079658 0.157100 0.316520 0.638361 1.262655 2.575827
2025-11-09 0.034852 0.072821 0.147682 0.306248 0.635765 1.293430 2.717536
2025-11-16 0.032847 0.070582 0.147046 0.313527 0.669285 1.399117 3.024384
2025-11-23 0.030456 0.067233 0.143746 0.314808 0.690320 1.481345 3.291075
2025-11-30 0.028592 0.064783 0.142018 0.319173 0.718286 1.580807 3.606234
2025-12-07 0.026011 0.060437 0.135735 0.312775 0.721771 1.627774 3.809648
2025-12-14 0.023997 0.057137 0.131374 0.310171 0.733422 1.693799 4.064010
2025-12-21 0.022583 0.055066 0.129544 0.313169 0.758298 1.792224 4.405615
2025-12-28 0.022138 0.055250 0.132916 0.328831 0.814904 1.970033 4.958726
2026-01-04 0.021366 0.054543 0.134103 0.339319 0.860108 2.125599 5.475147
2026-01-11 0.020491 0.053479 0.134308 0.347384 0.900180 2.272949 5.988007